) Information Memorandum of BTS
Back
space and merchandising areas on the Company's stations and the
Company train's body with
a subsidiary since 1999. The concession is for a period of 10 years
with an option to renew for
a further 5 years. Under the concession, the subsidiary is to pay a
concession fee for managing
and renting the space to the Company at the certain percentage in
accordance with the rate
and conditions stipulated in the agreement.
Subsequently, on 5 December 2009, the Company launched the letter to
the subsidiary in order
to confirm that the concession for marketing and advertising services
management of space
and renting the merchandising areas has been renewed for further 5
years, while the other
conditions in the original concession are to remain in force.
b) On 6 November 2002 and on 20 April 2006, the Company entered into a
concession for
commercial broadcast at BTS stations through plasma screens and LCD
screens, respectively,
with the subsidiary (VGI Global media Co., Ltd.). Under the
concession, the subsidiary is to pay
some expenses of such broadcast and has to share its revenue at the
certain percentage in
accordance with the agreement to the Company.
19
c) On 21 December 2004, the subsidiary entered into a concession with Ek-
Chai Distribution
System Company Limited for managing and renting the advertising
spaces in department
stores (Modern trade) since 1 January 2005. The concession is for a
period of 5 years with an
option to renew for a further 5 years. Under the concession, the
subsidiary is to pay a
concession fee for managing and renting the spaces to Ek-Chai
Distribution System Company
Limited at the certain percentage in accordance with the rate and
conditions stipulated in the
agreement. Subsequently, on 23 May 2008, the subsidiary and Ek-Chai
Distribution System
Company Limited amended the existing concession by adding the
provision of commercial
broadcast through LCD screens in the department store (Modern trade).
Under the concession,
the subsidiary is to pay some expenses of such broadcast and has to
share its revenue at the
certain percentage in accordance with the agreement.
d) On 8 August 2005, the subsidiary entered into a concession with Big C
Supercenter Public
Company Limited for managing and renting the advertising spaces in
department stores
(Modern trade) since 1 January 2006. The concession is for a period of
5 years with an option
to renew for a further 5 years. Under the concession, the subsidiary
is to pay a concession fee
for managing and renting the spaces to Big C Supercenter Public
Company Limited at the
certain percentage in accordance with the rate and conditions
stipulated in the agreement.
e) On 1 October 2008, the subsidiary (VGI Advertising Media Co., Ltd.)
entered into a concession
with Ek-Chai Distribution System Company Limited for managing and
renting the advertising
spaces in retail stores (Small modern trade) from 1 October 2008 to 31
December 2011. Under
the concession, the subsidiary is to pay a concession fee for managing
the spaces to Ek-Chai
Distribution System Company Limited at the certain percentage in
accordance with the rate and
conditions stipulated in the agreement.
f) On 7 February 2009, the subsidiary (888 Media Co., Ltd., formerly
known as VGI Property Co.,
Ltd.) entered into a concession with CenCar Limited for managing and
renting the advertising
spaces in department stores (Modern trade) since 1 July 2009. The
concession is for a period
of 5 years with an option to renew for a further 5 years. Under the
concession, the subsidiary is
to pay a concession fee for managing and renting the spaces to CenCar
Limited at the certain
percentage in accordance with the rate and conditions stipulated in
the agreement.
Risk Factors
1. Risks Relating to the BTS Skytrain System
1.1 Risk Relating to the BTS Skytrain System
BTSC depends on passenger fares as its primary source of revenues, and
any reduction in
passenger volumes and fare revenues could adversely affect its
business, financial condition,
results of operations and prospects of BTSC.
BTSC's revenues and profitability are substantially dependent on fare
revenue from BTS Sky
Train system's passengers. In the fiscal years ended March 31, 2007,
2008, and 2009, and
nine-month periods ended 31 December 2009; approximately 92.5%,
91.3%, 89.9%, and
79.1% respectively, of BTSC's total operating revenues were derived
from passenger fares.
Accordingly, any factor adversely affecting passenger volume,
individually or collectively, could
have a material adverse effect on BTSC's business, financial
condition, results of operations
and prospects.
Ridership trends are influenced by several factors, many of which are
beyond BTSC's control,
including passengers' commuting needs, confidence in security, level
of traffic congestion,
economic conditions in general, fuel prices, availability and quality
of alternative modes of
transportation, real estate developments surrounding its stations, and
Government plans for
the extension of other transportation systems. There are no assurances
that in the future its
passenger volume and fare revenues will not decrease. If its passenger
volumes and/or fare
revenues decrease, its business, financial performance, results of
operations and prospects
would be adversely affected.
20
1.2 BTSC's ability to raise fares is limited.
BTSC's ability to raise fares to adjust to changes in market conditions
and trends and other
events or fare raises to compensate for increase in operating and other
costs is limited (i) by
competitive dynamics and commuter preferences, and (ii) by the terms of
the Concession
Agreement.
The adjustment of passenger fares is subject to the terms and conditions
set out in the
Concession Agreement. Pursuant to the Concession Agreement, BTSC may
increase the actual
rate charged (the "Effective Fare") only once every 18 months, provided
that such charged
fares are not in excess of a maximum chargeable rate (the "Authorized
Fare"). In addition,
BTSC may request for adjustment of the Authorized Fare up to 7% from the
existing fare if the
Bangkok consumer price index published by the Ministry of Commerce of
Thailand in any
month increased by 5% or more compared to a period of at least 12 months
prior. The ceiling
applicable the Authorized Fares may also be adjusted by request of BTSC
for certain special
situations, including variations in the Baht/U.S.$ exchange rates to be
higher or lower than the
referenced rate as specified, variations in local or overseas interest
rates to be higher or lower
than the referenced rate as specified, fluctuations in its electricity
costs or if certain
exceptional risks transpire. If any of these special situations occur, we
may propose a increase
in the Authorized Fares. If the proposed adjustment is not approved by
the BMA, within 30
days, then an advisory committee established under the Concession
Agreement may be
requested to decide whether the proposal is acceptable. If at such time
it is against the
Government's policy to permit a fare increase, BTSC will not be allowed
to increase BTSC's
fares to remedy the loss BTSC incurred during the relevant period though
the government may
provide certain remedial measure to mitigate BTSC loss. However, there is
no guarantee that
the Government will provide such a remedy or that such a remedy will be
available. In
addition, even if BTSC is allowed to increase fares under the Concession
Agreement BTSC
might not be able, or may choose not to do so, due to political, social
and other reasons
relating to competitive dynamics and commuter preferences. Furthermore,
BMA may propose a
decrease of the Authorized Fares upon an occurrence of certain special
situations, such as
where BTSC's interest rate on loans is 10% higher or lower than the
referenced interest rate.
1.3 The Concession Agreement can be terminated by the BMA upon the triggering
of
certain events specified in the Concession Agreement.
Pursuant to the Concession Agreement, the occurrence of certain events
triggered by BMA
would allow BMA or BTSC, respectively, to terminate the Concession
Agreement, unless these
events are remedied within the specified cure period. Specifically, BMA
is entitled to terminate
the Concession Agreement upon its bankruptcy or its willful, continuous
and material breach of
the Concession Agreement. BMA is required to provide BTSC with one-
month's prior notice
before termination (in case of incurable default) or six-months prior
notice before termination
(in case of curable default). If BTSC is unable to cure the default
within these cure periods and
BMA desires to terminate the Concession Agreement in accordance with its
terms, BMA shall
notify the financial institution who serves as the representative of
BTSC's creditors under
certain credit facilities for the construction of BTS SkyTrain System,
giving BTSC 's creditors
not less than a 6-month period to procure another party to accept an
assignment of rights and
obligations under the Concession Agreement. If the creditors do not find
a suitable party to
accept the assignment within such period, the BMA will be entitled to
terminate the Concession
Agreement. In that case, BTSC must compensate the BMA for damages, and
the ownership of
all equipment, controlling equipment and other assets situated on the
land used for the BTS
Skytrain System will be transferred to the BMA. If the Concession
Agreement is terminated,
BTSC may not be able to operate the BTS Skytrain System, which would have
a material
adverse effect on BTSC's business, financial condition, results of
operations and prospects.
21
1.4 Failure to be granted concessions relating to future expansion, or delays
in the
Government's execution of its expansion plans, may adversely affect BTSC's
growth prospects.
If the BMA wishes to establish new or additional lines during the term of
the Concession
Agreement or to expand, or to provide services at the extension of, the
existing electric train
system, BTSC has a right of first refusal to negotiate with BMA on such
extensions on the
condition that BTSC accepts the best offer BMA has received from other,
third-party offerors.
However, BTSC cannot guarantee that the Government will proceed with its
current plans to
expand Bangkok's mass transit systems, or that if they do, that BTSC
would be granted a
concession for any such extensions. There is also no guarantee that BTSC
would be able to
accept the same terms and conditions as BMA received from other, third-
party offerors or
otherwise match the best offer to BMA and, if BTSC was awarded the new
concessions, that
BTSC would be able to proceed with such plans according to schedule and
under other terms
specified. The pursuit of substantial amounts of funds for investment in
the extension line, an
increase in the power of political parties opposed to the expansion plans
of the system or a
host of other significant political changes, individually or
collectively, may delay or deter
postpone or even cancel such extension plans.
In addition, in order to extend BTSC concession, which is scheduled to
expire in December
2029, BTSC must give BMA advance notice of at least three years and not
more than five years
of its intention to extend. Such extension is subject to the prior
consent of the Ministry of
Interior. There is no guarantee that BTSC will be granted additional
concessions in the future
and there is no guarantee that future concessions, if granted to BTSC,
will be on comparable
terms to the Concession Agreement. In the event that future concessions
are granted on less
favorable terms or not at all, BTSC's business, financial condition,
results of operations and
prospects may be adversely affected.
1.5 BTSC may not be able to successfully implement its growth strategy in the
public
transportation business which is in part dependent upon various factors
including
government approval.
BTSC growth strategies in the public transportation business include,
among others, bidding
for operations with respect to extensions to its system and for new mass
transit system
projects such as the BRT Project, or links with new mass transit
projects, such as the
Suvarnabhumi Airport Link. BTSC success in implementing these strategies
will depend on,
among other things, the government's decision and execution with regard
to such expansion
plans, BTSC's ability to identify and assess potential partners and
investments successfully,
finance, close and integrate such investments, obtain the necessary
approvals and concession
rights, and maintain sufficient operational and financial controls. These
growth strategies will
place significant demands on BTSC's management and other resources, and
certain factors,
including political factors, will be beyond BTSC's control. BTSC's future
growth may be
adversely affected if BTSC is unable to make these investments or if
these investments prove
unsuccessful or do not prove successful as expected.
1.6 BTSC faces substantial competition from other forms of public
transportation that
may result in pricing pressures and reduced revenues.
BTSC faces substantial competition from other forms of transportation in
Bangkok, which may
cause pricing pressures and reduced revenues. BTSC has a variety of
competitors, including
government-subsidized buses, Microbuses, and vans, all of which are
generally cheaper than
the BTS Skytrain System. Many of these other forms of transportation also
cover more routes
throughout Bangkok and its vicinities and provide commuters with easier
access. In addition,
other newer forms of transportation may also provide more comfort or
services. There are no
assurances that BTSC will be able to compete with existing and/or new
forms of transportation
effectively in respect of each of these factors, or at all. Such
competition and any resulting loss
of its competitive advantages could have a material adverse effect on
BTSC's business,
financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
22
1.7 BTSC's entry into other lines of business will increase BTSC's exposure
to new
sector-specific risks in such other lines of business.
1.7.1 Real estate development
As part of BTSC's growth strategy, BTSC has recently acquired (or
entered into
agreements to acquire) (directly or through the purchase of shares)
5 plots of land in
Bangkok along the BTS Skytain System route for future development.
The total value of
such real-estate development projects is approximately Baht 27,000
million. While BTSC
expects to develop synergies between these properties and its
stations, BTSC has no
previous experience in the property development business.
Accordingly, BTSC expects to
compete with a number of existing residential and commercial
property developers,
some of which have greater financial and other resources than BTSC.
Even if BTSC
wishes to enter into a joint venture with investors with experience
in the real estate
development business to reduce the risks of business operations,
there still will be no
guarantee that BTSC will be successful in its investment in real
estate development, and
in the case that BTSC faces loss it could have a material adverse
effect on BTSC's results
of operations and financial condition.
1.7.2 Advertising media business
BTSC entered into the License to Manage Marketing Service Agreement
with VGI by
which VGI has the rights to provide advertising service and manage
marketing activities
pursuant to the Marketing Services Agreement for a 10-year period
(since 1999) and VGI
has exercised its right to request for an extension of the term for
an additional 5 years
until the year 2014.
Under this agreement, BTSC has granted VGI an exclusive license to
manage marketing
services with respect to advertising space, merchandising areas,
exterior train areas and
other areas related to the BTS SkyTrain System, and VGI has agreed
to pay BTSC (a)
50% of its gross revenues arising from the lease of the advertising
and merchandising
space, (b) 60% of its gross revenues arising from the lease of the
advertising space on
the exterior of trains, and (c) 50% of its gross revenue arising
from the lease of
additional space other than those previously agreed in the
agreement. This is, however,
subject to certain minimum payments.
In the event that VGI's operational results are not satisfactory
and gross revenues
decline, BTSC, as the sole shareholder of VGI, may not receive any
benefit from
investing in VGI or have to invest more in VGI.
1.8 BTSC may encounter a lack of liquidity if BTSC does not obtain a credit
facility or
source of funds for its operations and investments in other businesses,
BTSC has additional investment plans in respect of the electric-railway
business and has plans
to invest in the real-estate development business (excluding investment
from its subsidiaries).
BTSC expects that all of such investments require additional funds from
BTSC in the aggregate
amount of approximately Baht 2,506 million during 1 January 2009 - fiscal
year ended 31
March 2010 and BTSC's board of directors has approved the dividend
payment of Baht 1,300
million. However, as of 31 December 2009, BTSC has cash-in-hand of Baht
3,049,6 million and
as of fiscal year ended 31 March 2009 and nine-month periods ended 31
December 2009,
BTSC's profit from its operation before deduction of expenses, interest
and depreciation is Baht
1,930.2 million and Baht 1,829.5 million, respectively.
In addition, on 21 August 2009, BTSC had issued and offered 5 series of
debentures in an
aggregrate amount of Baht 12,000 million in which BTS has interest
payable of approximately
Baht 675 million per annum. The debentures in an amount of Baht 2,500
million, Baht 2,500
million, Baht 4,000 million, Baht 1,500 million, and Baht 1,500 million
would be due in 2012,
2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016 and therefore BTSC may have to reserve its
fund or refinance it.
23
If BTSC is unable to meet such obligation, BTSC's financial condition
could be adversely
affected.
BTSC intends to obtain funds from third parties (the Third Party
Financing), particularly by
raising funds through offering securities for sale, borrowing from
financial institutions, and
seeking co-investors in its subsidiaries. In respect of the subsidiaries,
BTSC may sell some
portion of shares and/or having its subsidiaries obtain outside financing
through new co-
investor relationships, by issuing instruments according to market
conditions, and/or by
borrowing from financial institutions. If BTSC and/or its subsidiaries
are unable to obtain funds
by issuing debt instruments, through borrowing from financial
institutions or through
coinvestors within the expected timeframe, BTSC's liquidity and financial
condition could be
adversely affected.
1.9 BTS SkyTrain System currently offers limited coverage area and interchange
stations, and relies on a feeder system linked by other forms of
transportation.
The BTS SkyTrain System and the Silom Line Extension currently runs along
25.7 km of rail
lines with 25 elevated stations, including one common interchange or
central station at Siam
Station.
Despite BTSC's plans to improve shuttle bus services to selected
stations, increase linkages
with major commercial buildings, hotels and shopping centers, and operate
any line
extensions, the BTS SkyTrain System (and the Silom Line Extension) has,
and will continue to
have, a limited service route which relies heavily on feeder systems for
a substantial portion of
its ridership. While accessible by other forms of public transportation,
the BTS SkyTrain System
(and the Silom Line Extension) has a limited number of interchange
stations with other public
transportation and limited park-and-ride services. BTSC's fare revenues
and, as a result,
BTSC's future growth may be adversely affected if these feeder systems
discontinue or delay
their services or if BTSC is unable to expand its coverage area and
interchange stations
successfully. Any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect
on BTSC's anticipated
revenues, financial condition and results of operations in the future.
1.10 BTSC relies on Siemens to provide us with maintenance services; the long-
term
(more)